tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2948538160252327076.post5351772917852527670..comments2023-11-02T15:48:50.381+00:00Comments on UK Bubble UK Economy: FTSE down 18 percent since the beginning of SeptemberAlice Cookhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/05753570123987780947noreply@blogger.comBlogger9125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2948538160252327076.post-18676867762093571842008-10-08T02:27:00.000+01:002008-10-08T02:27:00.000+01:00"I'll guess he meant (i) US 1930s, (ii) NASDAQ 200..."I'll guess he meant (i) US 1930s, (ii) NASDAQ 2001 and (iii) Nikkei 1990s."<BR/><BR/>And also the 1970's debacle - it's best to avoid thinking only in nominal terms.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2948538160252327076.post-35851987575517950762008-10-07T15:20:00.000+01:002008-10-07T15:20:00.000+01:00"In order for the overall p/e of the index to real..."In order for the overall p/e of the index to realign, ...": but stuff overshoots.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2948538160252327076.post-43513200031378603622008-10-07T12:18:00.000+01:002008-10-07T12:18:00.000+01:00I'll guess he meant (i) US 1930s, (ii) NASDAQ 2001...I'll guess he meant (i) US 1930s, (ii) NASDAQ 2001 and (iii) Nikkei 1990s.<BR/><BR/>Probably a few banana republics you could throw in like Argentian and Indonesia.<BR/><BR/>NickAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2948538160252327076.post-71982458667826351722008-10-07T09:38:00.000+01:002008-10-07T09:38:00.000+01:00The bottom reading is not a lot of help to the ave...The bottom reading is not a lot of help to the average investor. <BR/><BR/>Wait for a live cross on the 100,50 and 20 day moving averages to show a new bull market has begun.AChttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01716131629327859181noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2948538160252327076.post-31929751695609140982008-10-07T01:03:00.000+01:002008-10-07T01:03:00.000+01:00Anon: "The traditional rule of thumb is that they ...Anon: "The traditional rule of thumb is that they drop 70-90% during a big depression."<BR/><BR/>Exactly which big depressions were used to form that rule of thumb?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2948538160252327076.post-44040133578541739272008-10-06T21:00:00.000+01:002008-10-06T21:00:00.000+01:00I'm going to be optimistic and say 3500 to 3800. ...I'm going to be optimistic and say 3500 to 3800. Maybe I'll go down to ladbrokes and put some money on it. Seems a better bet than putting it in the FTSE right now.Chrishttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14984816975862460493noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2948538160252327076.post-83011095330029010802008-10-06T20:59:00.000+01:002008-10-06T20:59:00.000+01:00The traditional rule of thumb is that they drop 70...The traditional rule of thumb is that they drop 70-90% during a big depression.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2948538160252327076.post-52638092058522945982008-10-06T19:59:00.000+01:002008-10-06T19:59:00.000+01:00The general rule is that shares underperform under...The general rule is that shares underperform under a <A HREF="http://www.londonstockexchange.com/en-gb/pricesnews/education/expertcommentary/schwartzlatest/dochancellorsaffectthestockmarket.htm" REL="nofollow">Labour government</A>.<BR/><BR/>Ergo, I'd expect the FTSE 100 to be back at 3,500 or so by May 2010.Mark Wadsworthhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07733511175178098449noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2948538160252327076.post-79826951593208424612008-10-06T19:47:00.000+01:002008-10-06T19:47:00.000+01:00In order for the overall p/e of the index to reali...In order for the overall p/e of the index to realign, the estimate made by Onassis (now Full Circle asset management) was for a fall to 3200 - 3500 range.<BR/><BR/>That call was made well over a year ago. Looked left-field at the time, but these days it looks a good shout...Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com